Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $8.34M 180 flags |
$1.48M 7 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $5.11M 140 flags |
$490.0k 4 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $246.5k 15 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $27.6k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $454.6k 7.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.9k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $58.1k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $44.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $54.1k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $33.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $249.5k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $100.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.12M 15.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $23.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $133.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $502.4k 10.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $89.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $74.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $49.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $74.2k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $137.0k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $85.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $159.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $49.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $47.4k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $47.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $64.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $41.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $90.6k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $48.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $477.7k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $94.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $27.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $52.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $30.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $148.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $41.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $46.2k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $87.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $42.4k 3.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $19.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $12.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $29.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $17.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $93.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $33.0k 2.3× usual |
called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $96.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $24.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $19.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $19.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $14.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96¢ | $12.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.7¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.6¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $14.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ | $69.1k 3.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $19.2k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96¢ | $29.5k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96¢ | $46.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $24.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ | $27.1k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $16.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ | $14.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $50.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.4¢ | $20.4k | called |
| HIGH SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $184.2k 7.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $15.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $29.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $24.2k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $108.0k 4.5× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $26.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $57.6k 3.3× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $18.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $22.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $17.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.4¢ | $13.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.3¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 3.8¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $96.7k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $13.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $14.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $16.7k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 3.4¢ | $12.8k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $139.8k 4.4× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $27.1k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ | $45.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $11.3k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $28.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 5¢ | $14.7k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96.8¢ | $48.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $11.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $12.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $19.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $94.7k 2.8× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $96.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $53.3k 3.5× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $19.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $28.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $35.2k | called |
| HIGH BUY No @ 95¢ | $285.0k 7.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.7k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $180.8k 7.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $16.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $19.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $12.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $56.4k 2.8× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.2k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $18.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $47.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $67.9k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $19.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $94.0k 3.6× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $15.1k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $56.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 7¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $51.7k 2.6× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $44.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $83.7k 4.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $14.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $92.0k 4.1× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $12.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $22.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 9¢ | $18.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.2k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 8.2¢ | $16.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 9¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $18.4k | called |
| HIGH SELL No @ 91¢ | $44.0k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 91¢ | $34.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $13.8k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 92¢ | $44.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $21.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $21.7k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 91¢ | $74.7k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $22.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $46.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $24.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 12¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $55.4k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $10.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $12.6k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $63.0k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $16.5k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $34.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 13¢ | $11.3k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 86¢ | $86.1k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $14.7k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $66.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $34.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $11.8k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 86¢ | $31.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 86¢ | $50.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $17.6k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $31.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $19.8k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 82¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 82¢ | $32.8k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 83¢ | $61.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $18.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $25.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $25.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 86¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $38.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $13.2k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $60.0k 2.8× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $13.1k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 86¢ | $69.1k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $140.0k 2.7× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 13¢ | $36.3k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $14.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $17.7k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $45.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $15.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.7k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $26.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $14.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $20.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $30.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $17.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $14.2k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $166.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $13.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $21.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $59.2k 2.3× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $22.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $15.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $64.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $240.1k 6.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $13.0k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 337 whale trades on this market totalling $13.73M from 164 wallets. The largest was $1.12M (buy No at 99.8¢). Most whale money ($8.34M) went to No. 182 of 337 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, bobe2.1 ($1.12M), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-april-30).