← Wallets
−$1,052No · avg 83¢ → 80¢ · $34.1k+$180No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $33.3k+$0No · avg 91.5¢ → 91.5¢ · $27.5k−$880No · avg 65¢ → 62¢ · $24.3k+$10No · avg 94.5¢ → 94.5¢ · $20.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against−$194Yes · avg 66¢ → 66¢ · $16.2k · 2 proven with, 0 against+$65No · avg 96.4¢ → 97¢ · $9,705+$326Yes · avg 82¢ → 86¢ · $8,011
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.6 wins, so it did -14.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-14.4 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.6
Flagged volume
$906.1k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$274.5k
Last 30 days +$2,529 · $43.82M volume · 32,651 trades · since Mar 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$714.1k
Open P&L · 37 positions
−$1,920
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
953d
1693 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 2.6 | -21.0 pts |
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.3 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc4086b…