Venue · Kalshi

Kalshi: big trades, graded

$10k+ trades and 20-point daily odds moves from Kalshi's public market data. Kalshi doesn't show who placed a trade, so there are no wallets, leaderboards or follows here. We grade each flag against its entry price once the market settles.

Graded Kalshi trades

7,683

Called vs expected

4630 vs 4909.1

Edge

-3.6 pts ±0.5

Flags stored

8,039

Graded history since Aug 15, 15:10 EDT. Kalshi numbers are kept separate from the Polymarket scoreboard. Same rules: entry 3¢–97¢, placed ≥1h before the event start or close. Parlays and 15-minute crypto markets are excluded. Method

Biggest in the last 24h

Sports · odds move

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 95¢ from 30¢$5.63M

32m ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Army vs Tulsa

Tulsa

missed

YES @ 74¢ from 52¢$2.24M

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Houston vs San Antonio

Houston

called

YES @ 63¢ from 34¢$1.38M

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Houston vs San Antonio

San Antonio

called

NO @ 62¢ from 34¢$1.21M

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Army vs Tulsa

Army

missed

NO @ 75¢ from 52¢$515.9k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Jovic vs Shnaider

Iva Jovic

called

NO @ 84¢ from 49¢$487.3k

18h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Air Force vs Wyoming

Wyoming

called

YES @ 58¢ from 34¢$445.5k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Basilashvili vs Mannarino

Nikoloz Basilashvili

called

YES @ 87¢ from 54¢$425.6k

22h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Air Force vs Wyoming

Air Force

called

NO @ 57¢ from 33¢$339.4k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Tampa Bay vs Colorado

Colorado

called

YES @ 91¢ from 55¢$281.8k

2h ago · late, not scored

Latest

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 96¢$12.5k

28m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

2027 Pro Football Champion

Los Angeles R

pending

NO @ 95¢$28.0k

30m ago

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ann Li

pending

YES @ 69¢$17.2k

30m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ann Li

pending

YES @ 62¢$11.8k

31m ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 95¢ from 30¢$5.63M

32m ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

NC St. vs Stanford: Spread

Stanford wins by over 3.5 points

pending

YES @ 80¢ from 21¢$95.1k

32m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Ena Shibahara

pending

YES @ 47¢$15.7k

33m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

NO @ 47¢$12.4k

33m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

NO @ 50¢$80.6k

34m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ann Li

pending

YES @ 75¢$29.2k

34m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford: Total Points

Over 65.5 points

pending

NO @ 90¢$12.7k

37m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 96¢$19.6k

38m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ann Li

pending

YES @ 75¢$15.0k

38m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 90¢$46.0k

39m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 86¢$43.0k

39m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Tristan Schoolkate

pending

NO @ 35¢$11.1k

39m ago

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Jie Cui

pending

YES @ 34¢$15.8k

40m ago

Sports · large trade

Anaheim vs Philadelphia

Anaheim

pending

YES @ 48¢$14.5k

40m ago

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 84¢$13.1k

40m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

NC St.

pending

YES @ 16¢$18.6k

40m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

2027 Pro Football Champion

Los Angeles R

pending

NO @ 94¢$10.1k

42m ago

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

YES @ 63¢$14.6k

43m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Tristan Schoolkate

pending

YES @ 70¢$16.1k

43m ago

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Tristan Schoolkate

pending

YES @ 70¢$18.7k

44m ago

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Jie Cui

pending

NO @ 70¢$17.6k

44m ago

Sports · large trade

Schoolkate vs Cui

Tristan Schoolkate

pending

YES @ 69¢$46.4k

44m ago

Sports · large trade

Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esports

Anyone's Legend

pending

YES @ 65¢$32.5k

44m ago

Sports · large trade

Thapa vs Tran

Thuy Thanh Truc Tran

pending

YES @ 86¢$10.4k

44m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

YES @ 63¢$11.4k

44m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 83¢$12.8k

45m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 82¢$15.5k

46m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ashlyn Krueger

pending

NO @ 76¢$15.2k

46m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 84¢$21.8k

47m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 85¢$12.1k

48m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Indiana vs Michigan: Spread

Indiana wins by over 7.5 points

pending

YES @ 50¢$24.1k

50m ago

Sports · large trade

LSU vs Auburn: Spread

LSU wins by over 7.5 points

pending

YES @ 48¢$24.1k

50m ago

Sports · large trade

Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL): Spread

Miami (FL) wins by over 20.5 points

pending

YES @ 50¢$24.2k

51m ago

Sports · large trade

Golden State vs Phoenix

Phoenix

pending

YES @ 72¢$43.4k

52m ago

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford: Total Points

Over 55.5 points

pending

YES @ 90¢$10.6k

54m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Ichikawa vs Kirkin

Ergi Kirkin

called

YES @ 95¢$25.3k

57m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Li vs Krueger

Ann Li

pending

YES @ 64¢$29.1k

57m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Iatcenko vs Shubladze

Polina Iatcenko

called

YES @ 87¢$29.3k

58m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Ichikawa vs Kirkin

Ergi Kirkin

called

YES @ 91¢$11.6k

58m ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Ichikawa vs Kirkin

Ergi Kirkin

called

YES @ 91¢$13.4k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

333: Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili

Petr Yan

pending

YES @ 58¢$12.0k

1h ago

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

YES @ 94¢$47.9k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

333: Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev

Alex Volkanovski

pending

YES @ 51¢$10.2k

1h ago

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

NC St.

pending

NO @ 70¢$20.4k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Shibahara vs Parks

Alycia Parks

pending

YES @ 89¢$99.3k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Ichikawa vs Kirkin

Taisei Ichikawa

called

NO @ 88¢$15.0k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Iatcenko vs Shubladze

Alexandra Shubladze

called

NO @ 91¢$11.7k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

NC St. vs Stanford

Stanford

pending

YES @ 70¢$19.6k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · large trade

Iatcenko vs Shubladze

Polina Iatcenko

called

YES @ 79¢$14.1k

1h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Tampa Bay vs Colorado

Colorado

called

YES @ 91¢ from 55¢$281.8k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Air Force vs Wyoming

Wyoming

called

YES @ 58¢ from 34¢$445.5k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Army vs Tulsa

Army

missed

NO @ 75¢ from 52¢$515.9k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Air Force vs Wyoming

Air Force

called

NO @ 57¢ from 33¢$339.4k

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Houston vs San Antonio

Houston

called

YES @ 63¢ from 34¢$1.38M

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Houston vs San Antonio

San Antonio

called

NO @ 62¢ from 34¢$1.21M

2h ago · late, not scored

Sports · odds move

Army vs Tulsa

Tulsa

missed

YES @ 74¢ from 52¢$2.24M

2h ago · late, not scored

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	7682	4629	4908.2	-3.6 pts
Crypto	1	1	0.9	+13.0 pts

Data from Kalshi's public API. Not affiliated with Kalshi. Not financial advice.