Signal · fresh wallets
Big bets from brand-new wallets
A $10k+ trade from a wallet that first appeared on Polymarket in the last 14 days, or has traded 5 markets or fewer. New money with size is unusual, but it isn't proof of anything. Scanned 14 wallets behind the largest flags of the last 3 days.
How fresh wallets have done
Graded bets from wallets under 7 days old: -4.9 pts ±1.4 vs the price, on 933 bets. A new wallet is worth a look, but it isn't proof of inside information.
| Market | Size | Age |
|---|---|---|
| $580.5k | 6d | |
| $451.6k | 7d | |
| $341.6k | 6d | |
| $288.6k | 7d | |
| $279.6k | 6d | |
| $275.4k | 7d | |
| $168.4k | 7d | |
| $162.0k | 10d |
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Wallet age = time since first Polymarket activity (public Data API). Data only, not financial advice.