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Signal · fresh wallets

Big bets from brand-new wallets

A $10k+ trade from a wallet that first appeared on Polymarket in the last 14 days, or has traded 5 markets or fewer. New money with size is unusual, but it isn't proof of anything. Scanned 14 wallets behind the largest flags of the last 3 days.

How fresh wallets have done
Graded bets from wallets under 7 days old: -4.9 pts ±1.4 vs the price, on 933 bets. A new wallet is worth a look, but it isn't proof of inside information.
MarketFlagSizeWalletAgeMarketsResult
Cavaliers vs. 76ersBUY Cavaliers @ 90.6¢$580.5kdhgreg6d4excluded
Cavaliers vs. 76ersBUY 76ers @ 56¢$451.6kMooseborzoiii7d18excluded
Bulls vs. BucksBUY Bucks @ 52¢$341.6kdhgreg6d4excluded
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY Karmine Corp @ 38¢$288.6kMooseborzoiii7d18excluded
Warriors vs. LakersBUY Lakers @ 87¢$279.6kdhgreg6d4excluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY Dplus KIA @ 65¢$275.4kMooseborzoiii7d18excluded
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY Invictus Gaming @ 28¢$168.4kMooseborzoiii7d18excluded
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?BUY Yes @ 54¢$162.0kjonjones199310d14excluded
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Wallet age = time since first Polymarket activity (public Data API). Data only, not financial advice.