2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes price
Biggest holders right now
Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.
- ndb1 PROVEN +12.9 pts$1.12M
- BreakTheBank PROVEN +12.2 pts$268.6k
- TeamA$239.4k
- midterms$239.1k
- Monopoly_Money$95.5k
- realbengvir$74.5k
- Contestable-Parfait$63.0k
- DOF2$49.9k
- RememberAmalek$48.1k
- Loyalty-Crash$40.4k
- ScottyNooo PROVEN +15.0 pts$36.3k
- 0xc728…3e5b$35.2k
- 0xa5ef…2966$1.38M
- thesingularityisnear$112.2k
- ninjaSnow$56.0k
- 0x10b3…40d4$33.5k
- Joe-Biden$16.7k
- bullishkirby$16.0k
- arvinlleva94$9,516
- 0x91c3…409f$8,767
- classified$8,375
- thanks4playing$6,700
- maritime6307$4,227
- PetuniaPettigrew$4,020
Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $393.1k 11 flags |
$148.5k 2 wallets |
none |
| No | $168.0k 3 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $33.9k 2 flags |
$12.3k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $21.6k | pending |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.8k | pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $49.8k | pending |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $12.0k | pending |
| MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $110.5k 3.4× usual |
pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $86.7k | pending |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $20.6k | pending |
| MED SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $12.3k | pending |
| LOW BUY No @ 33¢ | $21.0k | pending |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $16.3k | pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $42.9k 2.5× usual |
pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $35.3k | pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $11.4k | pending |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $32.0k | pending |
| MED BUY No @ 37¢ | $36.5k 2.4× usual |
pending |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $70.4k 2.4× usual |
pending |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 16 whale trades on this market totalling $595.0k from 10 wallets. The largest was $110.5k (buy No at 33¢). Most whale money ($393.1k) went to Yes. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, ndb1 ($136.5k), has called 16 of 25 graded flags overall (+12.9 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949).