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Contestable-Parfait

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Same side: 2 proven · 0 losing   Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$71.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,755
Last 30 days +$7,696 · $869.8k volume · 3,455 trades · since Oct 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$12.2k
Open P&L · 150 positions
+$5,482
Closed-position win rate
59%
59 closed
Wallet age · markets
8d
143 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseMED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $42.9k
2.5× usual
65% 2d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseMED BUY Yes @ 64¢ $11.4k64% 2d agopending
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ $16.9k74% 3d agopending

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc301c1…