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What this means. A wallet put $16.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?pending
$16.9k
BUY Yes @ 74¢ · 22,874 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletOther

What happened

Wallet Contestable-Parfait took Yes (buy) for $16.9k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $16.9k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
74¢
Implied odds
74.0%
Size
$16.9k
Placed
Oct 20, 14:47 EDT
Market close
Apr 17, 19:00 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Contestable-Parfait
Tx
0x302d3803…

Price since this bet

Since entry +1.1 pts
Yes price · entry 74¢ · now 75¢
70¢75¢81¢ Whale entry 74¢ · $16.9k WHALE $16.9K @ 74¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.