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Politics whale trades

Polymarket politics markets with $10k+ trades in the last 48 hours, and how those flags have graded. The live tape updates every 10 seconds.

Scored flags
667
Called
437
Implied
429.8
Edge
+1.1 pts

Most active markets

last 48 hours
MarketCategoryWhale volumeFlagsWalletsGradedLast
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics$350.2k96 open3h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics$321.2k55 open4h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics$191.6k44 open10h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics$174.6k66 open8h ago
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics$173.4k76 open3h ago
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics$161.9k22 open3h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics$157.3k76 open2h ago
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics$88.2k54 open3h ago
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics$80.7k32 open1d ago
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics$73.1k11 open1d ago
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics$70.2k22 open1h ago
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics$67.0k22 open5h ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics$61.4k44 open25m ago
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics$60.1k32 open12h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics$55.4k32 open1h ago
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics$45.7k21 open1d ago
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics$37.4k22 open6h ago
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics$37.2k11 open1d ago
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics$34.5k32 open10h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics$23.6k21 open6h ago
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics$22.2k11 open1d ago
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics$19.2k11 open1d ago
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics$18.1k11 open1d ago
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics$17.5k11 open1d ago
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics$15.8k11 open20h ago
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics$15.8k11 open1d ago
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics$15.4k11 open1d ago
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics$14.8k11 open1d ago
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Politics$13.2k11 open1d ago

Latest politics flags

All →
MarketFlagSizeImpliedWalletWhenResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $13.7k80% MisTKy PROVEN25m agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $12.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN1h agopending
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98¢ $19.7k2% afdafdafdafdafd1h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ $15.1k20% wagwanshawty NEW2h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $10.0k80% StarryPath2h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED SELL No @ 21¢ $28.8k79% eventalpha26 NEW2h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW Yes UP +11.0 pts $132.0k whale money behind it $125.7k
24h vol
80% —3h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?HIGH BUY Yes @ 74¢ $132.0k74% acasrbin NEW3h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 75¢ $10.7k75% StarryPath3h agopending
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $14.6k73% tourists3h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW SELL Yes @ 0.7¢ $13.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN3h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ $21.6k34% timetowander3h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ $15.0k92% 0x2bca…cd39 NEW4h agopending
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?MED SELL No @ 91¢ $32.2k9% Arbguy5h agopending
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 65¢ $23.9k35% dromedaryy6h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseMED BUY Yes @ 25¢ $12.5k25% Sunguyen86 NEW6h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $26.7k77% Melody6267h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.4k93% Elonurmom8h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ $14.3k77% Raiored NEW8h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $15.7k68% caribbeangambler10h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 30¢ $22.6k30% 88888x88888 NEW10h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ $22.5k25% Jmeryn NEW10h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $12.2k32% Polupander10h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW SELL No @ 91¢ $16.0k9% carlaAB11h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseHIGH SELL No @ 92¢ $48.1k8% ndb1 PROVEN11h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?HIGH SELL Yes @ 92¢ $109.5k
2.2× usual
8% ndb1 PROVEN11h agopending
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ $34.7k8% ndb1 PROVEN11h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $20.0k72% mrbuffet12h agopending
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $25.6k65% LulaVaiPerder12h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $28.6k99% Albedo0013h agopending