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Every $10k+ Polymarket bet and big odds move, newest first. Each one is graded once its market settles. ?

Pending = market not settled yet · Called = the whale's side won · Missed = it lost · Excluded = not graded. All terms explained →

32 matching · live · HIGH-only RSS · data updated 4m ago

Polymarket$5k+Kalshi
All walletsProven onlyLosing only
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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
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MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $19.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN49m agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $13.7k80% MisTKy PROVEN1h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $12.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN2h agopending
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98¢ $19.7k2% afdafdafdafdafd2h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ $15.1k20% wagwanshawty NEW3h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $10.0k80% StarryPath3h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED SELL No @ 21¢ $28.8k79% eventalpha26 NEW3h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW Yes UP +11.0 pts $132.0k whale money behind it $125.7k
24h vol
80% —4h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?HIGH BUY Yes @ 74¢ $132.0k74% acasrbin NEW4h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 75¢ $10.7k75% StarryPath4h agopending
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $14.6k73% tourists4h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW SELL Yes @ 0.7¢ $13.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN4h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ $21.6k34% timetowander4h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ $15.0k92% 0x2bca…cd39 NEW5h agopending
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?MED SELL No @ 91¢ $32.2k9% Arbguy7h agopending
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 65¢ $23.9k35% dromedaryy7h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseMED BUY Yes @ 25¢ $12.5k25% Sunguyen86 NEW7h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $26.7k77% Melody6268h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.4k93% Elonurmom9h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ $14.3k77% Raiored NEW9h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $15.7k68% caribbeangambler11h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 30¢ $22.6k30% 88888x88888 NEW11h agopending
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ $22.5k25% Jmeryn NEW11h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $12.2k32% Polupander11h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW SELL No @ 91¢ $16.0k9% carlaAB12h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseHIGH SELL No @ 92¢ $48.1k8% ndb1 PROVEN12h agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?HIGH SELL Yes @ 92¢ $109.5k
2.2× usual
8% ndb1 PROVEN12h agopending
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ $34.7k8% ndb1 PROVEN12h agopending
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $20.0k72% mrbuffet13h agopending
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $25.6k65% LulaVaiPerder13h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $28.6k99% Albedo0014h agopending
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?MED SELL Yes @ 76¢ $38.1k
2.5× usual
24% 0xc1a9…e2db15h agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.2¢$19.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 49m ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY No @ 80¢$13.7k
LOW PROVEN MisTKy · 1h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.3¢$12.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 2h ago
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?pending
SELL No @ 98¢$19.7k
LOW afdafdafdafdafd · 2h ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY Yes @ 20¢$15.1k
MED New wallet wagwanshawty · 3h ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY No @ 80¢$10.0k
LOW StarryPath · 3h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
SELL No @ 21¢$28.8k
MED New wallet eventalpha26 · 3h ago
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
Yes UP +11.0 pts $132.0k whale money behind it$125.7k
LOW Politics · 4h ago
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
BUY Yes @ 74¢$132.0k
HIGH New wallet acasrbin · 4h ago
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
BUY No @ 75¢$10.7k
LOW StarryPath · 4h ago
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?pending
BUY No @ 73¢$14.6k
LOW tourists · 4h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
SELL Yes @ 0.7¢$13.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 4h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Housepending
SELL Yes @ 66¢$21.6k
LOW timetowander · 4h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY Yes @ 92¢$15.0k
MED New wallet 0x2bca…cd39 · 5h ago
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
SELL No @ 91¢$32.2k
MED Arbguy · 7h ago
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?pending
SELL Yes @ 65¢$23.9k
LOW dromedaryy · 7h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D Housepending
BUY Yes @ 25¢$12.5k
MED New wallet Sunguyen86 · 7h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY Yes @ 77¢$26.7k
LOW Melody626 · 8h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 93¢$13.4k
LOW Elonurmom · 9h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY Yes @ 77¢$14.3k
MED New wallet Raiored · 9h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY Yes @ 68¢$15.7k
LOW caribbeangambler · 11h ago
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
BUY Yes @ 30¢$22.6k
MED New wallet 88888x88888 · 11h ago
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
BUY Yes @ 25¢$22.5k
MED New wallet Jmeryn · 11h ago
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?pending
SELL Yes @ 68¢$12.2k
LOW Polupander · 11h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housepending
SELL No @ 91¢$16.0k
LOW carlaAB · 12h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R Housepending
SELL No @ 92¢$48.1k
HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 12h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
SELL Yes @ 92¢$109.5k
HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 12h ago
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
SELL No @ 92¢$34.7k
HIGH PROVEN ndb1 · 12h ago
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
BUY No @ 72¢$20.0k
LOW mrbuffet · 13h ago
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?pending
BUY Yes @ 65¢$25.6k
LOW LulaVaiPerder · 13h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 98.7¢$28.6k
LOW Albedo00 · 14h ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?pending
SELL Yes @ 76¢$38.1k
MED 0xc1a9…e2db · 15h ago