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What this means. A wallet put $26.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.7k
BUY Yes @ 77¢ · 34,715 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet Melody626 took Yes (buy) for $26.7k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−333American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 76.9%
- Size
- $26.7k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 18:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Melody626
- Tx
- 0x6b00ab22…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-12.3 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.5 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · now 79¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED SELL No @ 21¢ | $28.8k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $14.3k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED SELL Yes @ 76¢ | $38.1k 2.5× usual |
pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $10.8k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | HIGH BUY No @ 22¢ | $26.8k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $11.7k | pending |