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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
SELL Yes @ 78¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet fortune777 took Yes (sell) for $11.7k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 21.8%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 06:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- fortune777
- Tx
- 0xa25b81c8…
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Price since this bet
Since entry -3.7 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · now 82¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $24.9k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY No @ 20¢ | $19.0k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED SELL No @ 21¢ | $28.8k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $26.7k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $14.3k | pending |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED SELL Yes @ 76¢ | $38.1k 2.3× usual |
pending |