WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
Games

Upcoming games: market odds vs the books

Polymarket and Kalshi prices next to the sportsbook consensus, with our model's public track record. Prices are for the home team.

AllNBANFL
GameStartPolymarketKalshiBooks (no-vig)GapBooks
Heat @ Hornets
NBA · price shown for Hornets · Sat Oct 24, 6:00 PM
Sat Oct 24, 6:00 PM42¢
+141
42¢
+141
42¢
+136
-0.8¢2
Nets @ Cavaliers
NBA · price shown for Cavaliers · Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM82¢
−471
—80¢
−395
+2.7¢2
Bucks @ 76ers
NBA · price shown for 76ers · Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM84¢
−545
84¢
−545
83¢
−492
+1.4¢2
Wizards @ Bulls
NBA · price shown for Bulls · Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM
Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM48¢
+106
—47¢
+114
+1.7¢2
Spurs @ Mavericks
NBA · price shown for Mavericks · Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM
Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM18¢
+441
—19¢
+418
-0.8¢2
Rockets @ Hawks
NBA · price shown for Hawks · Sat Oct 24, 8:30 PM
Sat Oct 24, 8:30 PM52¢
−111
—51¢
−104
+1.4¢2
Pelicans @ Nuggets
NBA · price shown for Nuggets · Sat Oct 24, 9:00 PM
Sat Oct 24, 9:00 PM82¢
−441
—80¢
−398
+1.6¢2
Warriors @ Suns
NBA · price shown for Suns · Sat Oct 24, 10:00 PM
Sat Oct 24, 10:00 PM78¢
−365
—70¢
−237
+8.2¢2
Steelers @ Saints
NFL · price shown for Saints · Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM
Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM40¢
+153
40¢
+153
40¢
+150
-0.5¢6
49ers @ Falcons
NFL · price shown for Falcons · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM42¢
+135
42¢
+141
43¢
+134
-0.3¢6
Bengals @ Ravens
NFL · price shown for Ravens · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM48¢
+111
48¢
+106
49¢
+105
-1.2¢6
Buccaneers @ Panthers
NFL · price shown for Panthers · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM58¢
−141
60¢
−147
58¢
−140
+0.2¢6
Giants @ Texans
NFL · price shown for Texans · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM80¢
−413
80¢
−413
80¢
−400
+0.5¢6
Colts @ Vikings
NFL · price shown for Vikings · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM72¢
−251
72¢
−251
71¢
−247
+0.3¢6
Dolphins @ Jets
NFL · price shown for Jets · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM66¢
−199
66¢
−199
67¢
−199
-0.1¢6
Browns @ Titans
NFL · price shown for Titans · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM
Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM46¢
+120
46¢
+120
46¢
+117
-0.5¢6
Broncos @ Cardinals
NFL · price shown for Cardinals · Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM
Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM32¢
+208
34¢
+199
33¢
+200
-0.8¢6
Packers @ Lions
NFL · price shown for Lions · Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM
Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM62¢
−167
62¢
−167
61¢
−158
+1.3¢6
Rams @ Raiders
NFL · price shown for Raiders · Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM
Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM38¢
+160
38¢
+160
39¢
+156
-0.6¢6
Chiefs @ Seahawks
NFL · price shown for Seahawks · Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PM
Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PM58¢
−141
58¢
−141
57¢
−134
+1.2¢6
Cowboys @ Eagles
NFL · price shown for Eagles · Mon Oct 26, 8:15 PM
Mon Oct 26, 8:15 PM34¢
+190
36¢
+182
34¢
+192
+0.2¢6

Books = median no-vig moneyline across US sportsbooks (Action Network public scoreboard). Kalshi = midpoint of bid and ask. The small line under each price is the same price as an American moneyline with no vig. A gap is a price difference, not a prediction. Updated every few minutes.

Track record (public, out of sample)
NFL closing line, 946 games 2023–2025 (Brier, lower is better)0.2124
Our model v0 (untested on live games), same games0.2223
Accuracy: closing line vs model v067.5% vs 63.7%
VerdictThe closing line beats our model. No model edge, so we show market prices only, no picks.

Model trained on 2015–2022, tested on 2023–2025 it never saw. Data only, not financial advice. JSON