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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

OpenResolves Dec 31?Alert me on this market
Flags
3
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$94.8k
Price 7d ago → now
16¢→18¢
Category
Other

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 18¢no rated wallets
  1. TheQuietRisk$184.9k
  2. xm39$162.0k
  3. SecondWindCapital$143.4k
  4. onepingonly$70.0k
  5. Kryptogram$43.7k
  6. meagainsttheworld$41.1k
  7. LlamaLoco0000$36.2k
  8. DonaldPumpJr$30.2k
  9. Arbguy$27.2k
  10. 0xb886…81b3$21.1k
  11. kenzok$19.5k
  12. freeman1337$15.6k
No 82¢no rated wallets
  1. denizz$305.6k
  2. 0xad96…d498$253.6k
  3. scout$239.3k
  4. rdba$206.3k
  5. ethBELIVER$165.0k
  6. 0xe639…082a$162.7k
  7. nonkenny90$157.0k
  8. LulaVaiPerder$142.3k
  9. 0x8b4b…541b$134.1k
  10. 0xff1e…5e2d$124.2k
  11. SlenderMan$116.3k
  12. ImJustKen$105.3k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$94.8k
3 flags
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $46.2k82% 0xad96…d4983h agoOpenResolves Dec 31
LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $28.7k81% 0xad96…d49813h agoOpenResolves Dec 31
LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $20.0k82% hitjnn21415h agoOpenResolves Dec 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?OpenResolves Dec 31
BUY No @ 82¢$46.2k
LOW 0xad96…d498 · 3h ago
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?OpenResolves Dec 31
BUY No @ 81¢$28.7k
LOW 0xad96…d498 · 13h ago
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?OpenResolves Dec 31
BUY No @ 82¢$20.0k
LOW hitjnn214 · 15h ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 3 whale trades on this market totalling $94.8k from 2 wallets. The largest was $46.2k (buy No at 82¢). Most whale money ($94.8k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, 0xad96…d498 ($74.8k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027).