← Wallets
−$3,636Yes · avg 20¢ → 18¢ · $46.2k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -8.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-8.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$50.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$32.8k
Last 30 days +$4,990 · $757.1k volume · 1,421 trades · since Apr 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$46.5k
Open P&L · 12 positions
−$10.5k
Closed-position win rate
53%
51 closed
Wallet age · markets
187d
59 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $10.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe961ba…