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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$46.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
0xad96…d498 bought No at 82¢. The price gave that side a 82% chance. 56,288 shares, Oct 29, 05:20 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $46.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0xad96…d498 bought No for $46.2k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied 82% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−456American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 82¢ · now 82¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $28.7k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $20.0k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |