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What this means. A wallet put $25.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.6k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 39,278 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet LulaVaiPerder took Yes (buy) for $25.6k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−188American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.2%
- Size
- $25.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 13:30 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 25, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LulaVaiPerder
- Tx
- 0x646d37e3…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.5 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.2 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · now 65¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.0k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $11.5k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $16.4k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $32.5k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $32.4k | pending |