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What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
BUY Yes @ 73¢ · 15,781 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet Votei14Voude22 took Yes (buy) for $11.5k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 04:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 25, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Votei14Voude22
- Tx
- 0x27ad9d77…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+13.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -7.5 ptsYes price · entry 73¢ · now 66¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $25.6k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.0k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $16.4k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $32.5k | pending |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $32.4k | pending |