← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $48.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.1k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 52,300 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (sell) for $48.1k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $48.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $48.1k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 14:27 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x5c35bf6f…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · now 92.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | MED BUY Yes @ 8¢ | $75.5k 2.3× usual |
pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $11.5k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $10.1k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | HIGH BUY Yes @ 8.9¢ | $30.0k | pending |