← Wallets
−$2,199No · avg 33¢ → 32¢ · $155.9k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$1,674No · avg 33¢ → 34¢ · $112.2k · 0 proven with, 2 against−$4,717Yes · avg 8¢ → 7.5¢ · $70.8k+$75Yes · avg 33¢ → 33¢ · $15.8k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.0 wins, so it did -3.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 2 proven · 0 losing
No · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
No · 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 2 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-3.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.83M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.39M
Last 30 days −$5,408 · $29.03M volume · 2,515 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.88M
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$474.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
116d
22 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.0 pts |
History
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