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What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.3k
BUY Yes @ 2.8¢ · 504,814 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet thesingularityisnear took Yes (buy) for $14.3k at an average 2.8¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 3¢ means
3%chance the market gave
+3422American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 2.8¢
- Implied odds
- 2.8%
- As American odds
- +3422 no vig
- Size
- $14.3k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 05:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 21:57 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thesingularityisnear
- Tx
- 0x8768c81d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.0 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsYes price · entry 2.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $28.9k | called |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $99.3k | called |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $20.0k | called |