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What this means. A wallet put $99.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.3k
BUY No @ 96.5¢ · 102,895 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet kgvdotcom took No (buy) for $99.3k at an average 96.5¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $99.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2787American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.5¢
- Implied odds
- 96.5%
- As American odds
- −2787 no vig
- Size
- $99.3k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 13:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 21:57 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kgvdotcom
- Tx
- 0x6458fe8d…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.6 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 96.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $28.9k | called |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $11.6k | called |