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What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.0k
BUY Yes @ 1.4¢ · 1,210,813 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet thesingularityisnear took Yes (buy) for $17.0k at an average 1.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 1¢ means
1%chance the market gave
+7043American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 1.4¢
- Implied odds
- 1.4%
- As American odds
- +7043 no vig
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 23:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 02:13 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thesingularityisnear
- Tx
- 0xe202d5e5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.0 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 1.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $115.6k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $89.2k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $53.2k | called |