← Wallets
−$417Panthers · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $34.6k+$154Chiefs · avg 32¢ → 32¢ · $10.0k+$284No · avg 71¢ → 82¢ · $2,118+$15Panthers · avg 55¢ → 56¢ · $1,684+$137No · avg 82¢ → 90¢ · $1,635−$907No · avg 29¢ → 18¢ · $1,541−$246No · avg 50¢ → 40¢ · $1,050+$19No · avg 91.3¢ → 93.2¢ · $932
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did +22.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+22.8 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$1.98M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$627.4k
Last 30 days +$484.4k · $93.27M volume · 141,565 trades · since Dec 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$12.15M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$1.14M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
305d
7862 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.1 | +22.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Army vs. Tulsa | LOW BUY Tulsa @ 80¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
 Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $10.5k | called |
 Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY 76ers @ 98¢ | $38.1k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | MED BUY Packers @ 65¢ | $70.6k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Eagles @ 25¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Eagles @ 33¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Texans @ 80¢ | $77.4k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Jaguars @ 32¢ | $40.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Texans @ 51¢ | $76.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | MED BUY Chiefs @ 79¢ | $62.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | MED BUY Raiders @ 42¢ | $80.0k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Rams vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Rams @ 57¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | MED BUY Patriots @ 36¢ | $45.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 50¢ | $79.6k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 44¢ | $88.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i | LOW BUY San Jose State @ 81¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Commanders @ 36¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 35¢ | $32.1k | called |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 85¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Rams @ 52¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Vikings @ 64¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | MED BUY Buccaneers @ 32¢ | $77.5k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Vikings @ 52¢ | $36.4k | called |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Falcons @ 79¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 75¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Colts @ 26¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Packers vs. Jets | MED BUY Packers @ 75¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Titans | LOW BUY Eagles @ 95¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Bears | LOW BUY Vikings @ 40¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Rams | LOW BUY 49ers @ 52¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Dricus Du Plessis @ 68¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $115.6k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $47.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 43¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 99¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 89¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 55¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 45¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 76¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $22.5k | called |
 Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings | LOW BUY Gujarat Titans @ 88¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 98.8¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Warriors @ 48¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans | LOW BUY Punjab Kings @ 91.6¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Tyrell Fortune @ 97.9¢ | $98.5k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Marcin Tybura @ 97.3¢ | $98.5k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Rockets vs. Wizards | LOW BUY Rockets @ 86¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Suns | LOW BUY Lakers @ 25¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
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