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Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $47.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded$47.4k
BUY No @ 71¢ · 67,204 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet takeormake took No (buy) for $47.4k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $47.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−239American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 70.5%
- As American odds
- −239 no vig
- Size
- $47.4k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 17:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- takeormake
- Tx
- 0xcd272e7f…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+22.8 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |