Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $2.81M 34 flags |
$264.3k 3 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $2.17M 44 flags |
$325.9k 5 wallets |
$249.9k 3 wallets |
| Not No | $332.3k 10 flags |
none | $13.9k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $79.8k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 75¢ | $91.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $47.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 72¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 52¢ | $92.2k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 55¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 48¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 54¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 45¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $65.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 44¢ | $1.63M | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $55.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $112.4k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $49.3k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 38¢ | $84.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $12.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 38¢ | $51.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $49.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 38¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $24.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $19.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $197.4k 7.2× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $24.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 39¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $13.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $11.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 36¢ | $44.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $19.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 35¢ | $81.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $17.6k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $51.8k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $11.1k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $605.9k 4.4× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $10.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 34¢ | $28.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $11.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $92.6k 4.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 36¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $153.2k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $147.9k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $12.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $11.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $11.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $16.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $11.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $23.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $34.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $63.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $16.2k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 91 whale trades on this market totalling $5.39M from 72 wallets. The largest was $1.63M (buy No at 44¢). Most whale money ($2.81M) went to No. 37 of 91 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, sparklingwater123 ($1.63M), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+48.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-ecu-ger-2026-06-25-ger).