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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY No @ 39¢ · 28,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet nerongod took No (buy) for $11.0k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+157American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 38.9%
- As American odds
- +157 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 09:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nerongod
- Tx
- 0xd287f374…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+61.1 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +61 ptsNo price · entry 39¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |