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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +61.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+61.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$113.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$305.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.30M volume · 5,959 trades · since May 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$578.3k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$271.7k
Closed-position win rate
64%
91 closed
Wallet age · markets
162d
114 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +61.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 25¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 39¢ | $11.0k | called |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
 Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x36a74f…