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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$121.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$119
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.37M volume · 137 trades · since Mar 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.0k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$68.7k
Closed-position win rate
52%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
216d
76 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 92.2¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 90¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x471823…