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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 25,101 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Manuela7 took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−147American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
59.6%
As American odds
−147 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jun 25, 15:25 EDT
Market close
Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Manuela7
Tx
0xe8992d8e…

Entry to resolution

Grade -60 pts
Yes price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.1k0% bambambole120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $39.3k0% Gambleguy123120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $90.9k
3.9× usual
0% Jittz120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% suntori LOSING120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% HeyItsOracle0120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $252.4k
5.2× usual
100% 67BrainRot120d agoexcluded