MrBlobby

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did +11.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+11.1 pts

Called / graded

3/4

Expected from price

2.6

Flagged volume

$1.37M

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$807.5k

Last 30 days +$0 · $6.49M volume · 586 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$149.0k

Open P&L · 8 positions

−$655.6k

Closed-position win rate

69%

36 closed

Wallet age · markets

131d

44 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	4	3	2.6	+11.1 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 51¢	$25.2k	51%	106d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	MED BUY Yes @ 86¢	$298.9k 3.6× usual	86%	112d ago	excluded
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	LOW BUY Over @ 64¢	$19.4k	64%	112d ago	called
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	MED BUY Over @ 63¢	$170.2k 2.0× usual	63%	112d ago	called
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 80¢	$111.0k	20%	119d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢	$94.7k	60%	119d ago	called
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 62¢	$49.3k	62%	120d ago	missed
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	MED BUY Yes @ 84¢	$150.4k	84%	122d ago	excluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	MED BUY Yes @ 35¢	$58.4k	35%	124d ago	excluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢	$23.1k	38%	125d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$129.6k	0%	127d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$99.7k	77%	127d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢	$84.0k	67%	129d ago	called
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 45¢	$32.7k	45%	130d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢	$25.0k	38%	130d ago	excluded

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 51¢$25.2k

LOW MrBlobby · 106d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 86¢$298.9k

MED MrBlobby · 112d ago

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5called

BUY Over @ 64¢$19.4k

LOW MrBlobby · 112d ago

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5called

BUY Over @ 63¢$170.2k

MED MrBlobby · 112d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded

SELL Yes @ 80¢$111.0k

HIGH MrBlobby · 119d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?called

BUY Yes @ 60¢$94.7k

LOW MrBlobby · 119d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?missed

BUY Yes @ 62¢$49.3k

MED MrBlobby · 120d ago

Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded

BUY Yes @ 84¢$150.4k

MED MrBlobby · 122d ago

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 35¢$58.4k

MED MrBlobby · 124d ago

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded

BUY Yes @ 38¢$23.1k

LOW MrBlobby · 125d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$129.6k

LOW MrBlobby · 127d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 77¢$99.7k

LOW MrBlobby · 127d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?called

BUY Yes @ 67¢$84.0k

LOW MrBlobby · 129d ago

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 45¢$32.7k

LOW MrBlobby · 130d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 38¢$25.0k

LOW MrBlobby · 130d ago

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