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What this means. A wallet put $44.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$44.9k
SELL No @ 36¢ · 125,019 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet caicai888888 took No (sell) for $44.9k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $44.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 64.1%
- As American odds
- −179 no vig
- Size
- $44.9k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 07:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- caicai888888
- Tx
- 0xabe27111…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-56.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsNo price · entry 36¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |