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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +3.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+3.3 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$47.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$85.1k
Last 30 days −$4,001 · $2.26M volume · 2,894 trades · since Dec 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$51.5k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$32.2k
Closed-position win rate
49%
105 closed
Wallet age · markets
310d
121 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.9 | +3.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $15.9k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $13.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9d1260…