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+$2Yes · avg 12¢ → 12¢ · $50
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -8.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-8.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$447.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$284.3k
Last 30 days −$456 · $13.05M volume · 13,649 trades · since Nov 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.92M
Open P&L · 14 positions
−$57.0k
Closed-position win rate
92%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
717d
966 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.2 | -8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 25¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
 Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 50¢ | $28.2k | missed |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 30¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
 New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | LOW BUY New York Yankees @ 32¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $11.6k | missed |
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 70¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | MED BUY No @ 15¢ | $28.9k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $11.9k | called |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY No @ 66¢ | $40.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | MED BUY No @ 35¢ | $53.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $43.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | MED BUY Spurs @ 79¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 57¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 55¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | LOW BUY Knicks @ 49¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Vitality @ 46¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
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