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What this means. A wallet put $19.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scoreexcluded
$19.4k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 39,606 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet RiskIsForLosers took No (buy) for $19.4k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$19.4k
Placed
Jun 16, 14:44 EDT
Market close
Jun 16, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
RiskIsForLosers
Tx
0xd97aa2a4…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
No price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $19.4k WHALE $19.4K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% DaBossHogg130d agoexcluded
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% NiNo999130d agoexcluded
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% youknowwho99130d agoexcluded
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $10.2k52% RegardedMoney PROVEN130d agoexcluded
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $50.0k52% NiNo999130d agoexcluded
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreMED BUY Yes @ 49¢ $26.4k49% RegardedMoney PROVEN130d agocalled