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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY No @ 36¢ · 32,699 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet RiskIsForLosers took No (buy) for $11.9k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+174American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 36.5%
- As American odds
- +174 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 23:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RiskIsForLosers
- Tx
- 0x858d3429…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +64 ptsNo price · entry 36¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |