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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 23,474 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Yes (buy) for $13.5k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−135American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.4%
- As American odds
- −135 no vig
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 21:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x0cac120b…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsYes price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |