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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +48.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+48.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$8.06M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$8.35M
Last 30 days +$0 · $19.00M volume · 1,027 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$8.67M
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$318.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
4 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +48.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 59¢ | $6.39M 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 52¢ | $36.4k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 44¢ | $1.63M | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x664ce9…