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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$312.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$18.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.18M volume · 99 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$83.9k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$64.1k
Closed-position win rate
97%
30 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
44 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.3¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $74.3k 4.0× usual |
missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $70.0k 3.8× usual |
called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 90.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 82¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ | $44.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa18728…