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What this means. A wallet put $51.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.8k
BUY No @ 34¢ · 151,201 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side4 fills in 1h2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $51.8k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $51.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+192American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.3%
- As American odds
- +192 no vig
- Size
- $51.8k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 00:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0x495dbc35…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +66 ptsNo price · entry 34¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |