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SOLPIRATE1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -14.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$1Yes · avg 91¢ → 91.5¢ · $101
Price-adjusted edge
-14.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$128.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$136.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.96M volume · 444 trades · since Jan 16, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$29.2k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$105.9k
Closed-position win rate
84%
58 closed
Wallet age · markets
282d
60 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports211.3-14.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ $92.6k
4.7× usual
64% 122d agomissed
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $19.9k65% 127d agocalled
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 2.3¢ $15.8k2% 128d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe002b9…