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What this means. A wallet put $92.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$92.6k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 143,630 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h4.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet SOLPIRATE1 took Yes (buy) for $92.6k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $92.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−182American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.5%
- As American odds
- −182 no vig
- Size
- $92.6k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 23:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SOLPIRATE1
- Tx
- 0x51081f03…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-14.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |