← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $23.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.7k
BUY Yes @ 54¢ · 43,860 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet purplegatto took Yes (buy) for $23.7k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $23.7k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 15:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- purplegatto
- Tx
- 0xb849d7ad…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |