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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +18.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$153.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±38.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$35.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $295.3k volume · 12 trades · since Jun 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$20.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$15.7k
Closed-position win rate
80%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
122d
6 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $48.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $28.0k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $13.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9159b8…