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+$77No · avg 84¢ → 86¢ · $6,046−$20No · avg 90.8¢ → 90.5¢ · $5,419+$212Yes · avg 13¢ → 15¢ · $1,468 · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.7 wins, so it did +7.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.9 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.7
Flagged volume
$288.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$39.6k
Last 30 days −$21.9k · $3.70M volume · 1,967 trades · since Feb 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$20.5k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$55.7k
Closed-position win rate
54%
306 closed
Wallet age · markets
256d
292 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.7 | +7.9 pts |
History
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