← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $63.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.1k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 122,993 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x37c3…674b took Yes (buy) for $63.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $63.1k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.3%
- As American odds
- −105 no vig
- Size
- $63.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 04:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x37c3…674b
- Tx
- 0xed76cf7e…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-8.2 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |