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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -8.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-8.2 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$117.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$76.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $538.9k volume · 9 trades · since May 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$22.2k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$93.1k
Closed-position win rate
50%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
155d
4 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -8.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $63.1k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $54.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x37c3fd…