← Wallets
−$1,171No · avg 62¢ → 54¢ · $7,820+$3,138No · avg 52¢ → 93.5¢ · $7,012−$12Yes · avg 64¢ → 64¢ · $4,762+$75No · avg 36¢ → 36¢ · $3,650−$50No · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $2,475+$580No · avg 50¢ → 72¢ · $1,910+$12No · avg 60¢ → 60¢ · $1,512−$12Yes · avg 51¢ → 50¢ · $1,262
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did -16.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-16.1 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$432.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$920.1k
Last 30 days +$25.2k · $193.51M volume · 411,820 trades · since Mar 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$10.78M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$3.82M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
215d
11429 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.6 | -16.1 pts |
History
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