← Live flags
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $29.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?excluded$29.7k
BUY Yes @ 30¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x32b4…8b21 took Yes (buy) for $29.7k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+237American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 29.7%
- As American odds
- +237 no vig
- Size
- $29.7k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 23:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x32b4…8b21
- Tx
- 0x1ddf78e8…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-16.1 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsYes price · entry 30¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | HIGH BUY No @ 89¢ | $396.3k 14.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $89.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |