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vad1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?−$161Yes · avg 80¢ → 16¢ · $39
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$47.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$39.2k
Last 30 days +$206 · $3.02M volume · 8,126 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$216.0k
Open P&L · 348 positions
−$86.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
179d
2453 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $27.0k100% 126d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $20.0k99% 129d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb476d5…