← Live flags
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?excluded$20.9k
BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ · 22,766 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x32b4…8b21 took Yes (buy) for $20.9k at an average 91.9¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1136American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.9¢
- Implied odds
- 91.9%
- As American odds
- −1136 no vig
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 18:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x32b4…8b21
- Tx
- 0x960fbb40…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-16.1 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $170.1k 6.4× usual |
excluded |